In words of two great Canadian singer songwriters, this is what has, and is happening, to Europe.

After the Basel Committee in 1988 decreed its risk adverse bank regulations, in words of Joni Mitchell’s Yellow Taxi, this is what has happened to Europe.

“Don't it always seem to go

That you don't know what you got 'til it's gone?

They paved paradise and put up a parking lot

Ooh, bop-bop-bop

Ooh, bop-bop-bop (na-na-na-na-na)

They took all the …. and put 'em in a …. museum

And they charged the people a dollar and a half to see them

No, no, no

Don't it always seem to go

That you don't know what you got 'til it's gone?

They paved paradise and put up a parking lot.”

And, if also Leonard Cohen could update his You want it darker, though surely in a more poetic way, it could go something like this:

If you’re the regulator, I'm out of the game

Deciding what banks need, kids will be broken and lame

If thine is the glory, theirs must be the shame

You want it darker

You killed the flame

It's written in regulations

It's not some nonsense claim

Basel Committee told banks

Keep refinancing our safer present

Don’t finance their riskier future

And that’s what our children got

You want it darker

They killed the flame

What has become of Europe (and of you the whole Western world)? Don’t be such a defeatist!

Please free us from imprudent risk-aversion and give us some prudent risk-taking

God make us daring!

USA and Canada beware… all this goes with you too.

 

CNN, really?

As of October 10, 2020, with John Hopkins University as source of considering total populations, from the data reported by CNN reported that if we consider respective total populations, the USA suffers 5.9 times more Coronavirus cases than the rest of the world; and 5.7 times more deaths.

As of November 14, 2020, now with WHO, CDC, ECDC, NHC, DXY as sources those same figures indicate USA suffers 4.8 times more Coronavirus cases than the rest of the world; and 4.3 times more deaths.

"facts first"? And on December 6, adjusted for population CNN indicates data that Covid-19 causes 6.7 times more cases and 5.7 times more deaths in U.S than in the rest of the world. Really?

Are the previous and current figures really believable? 

Does no one at CNN question these?

CNN has been seriously infected by the ongoing polarization pandemic.

Winston Churchill on herd immunity? 

On schools in Covid-19 times

Financial and other escape valve in times of Covid-19

Many lesser impact sanctions, on many more soft-liners (50.000?) are also needed in Venezuela.

The Atlantic Council has just published a document on the issue of “What US sanctions would be most effective in maximizing pressure on President Maduro’s government while minimizing repercussions for the Venezuelan people?”

It includes to “Extend the use of individual sanctions, and potentially some entity-focused sanctions, to fracture the regime soft-liners from the hard-liners with nothing to lose.” 

I agree, but I do not think that only severe sanctions, of some few very responsible hard-liners, like to “block all property belonging to those individuals and entities subject to US jurisdiction and prohibit US persons from engaging in transactions with them”, will suffice.

Lesser impact sanctions, extended to many more soft-liners, could prove easier to implement and be even more effective.

For this it might suffice with USA, Canada, Europe and all those nations that recently signed a declaration in Lima, informing they were now contemplating issuing a blank prohibition to all members of the Constituent Assembly, and of the National Guard, sort of 50.000 Venezuelans, to access any kind of visa. 

If that prohibition could, at a later moment, perhaps also be extended to include all their close relatives, it would ignite many serious discussions and doubts in the homes of the soft-liners.

As a foreigner I get so confused reading America’s Declaration of Independence while listening to President candidates

The Declaration of Independence states as one of its basic motives that “The King of Great Britain… has endeavored to prevent the population of these states; for that purpose obstructing the laws for naturalization of foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migration hither, and raising the conditions of new appropriations of lands.”

And it also states as a motive for Independence: The King of England has also “combined with others to subject us to Jurisdiction foreign to our Constitution, and unacknowledged by our Laws; giving his Assent to their Acts of pretended legislation: … For cutting off our Trade with all Parts of the World.

And it also states, as a motive for Independence: The King of England “has excited domestic Insurrections among us” 

PS. How did America move from Reagan’s “Tear down that wall” to Trump’s “Build up that wall”, in just a few decades?

PS. When you build a wall, how can you really be sure you end up on the right side, with the right company?

If a Hitler imprisoned my grandchild, could he hope to be liberated by the Americans, like my father was?

I ask this because:

Seeing the number of safety instruction posted on the pool where I live in Maryland.

Hearing rumors about sport-teams being sued for allowing players to take risks

Seeing, in the Home of the Brave, how they are using sissy bank regulations, which require banks to hold more equity when lending to “the risky” than when lending to “the safe”.

And seeing the development of the taste for drones... and distaste for boots on the ground.

I have enough reasons to get nervous about America, slowly but surely, getting to be too risk-adverse for its, and for ours, the rest of the world's, own good.

June 1940, my father was on that train which carried polish prisoners and which was the first train to arrive to Auschwitz. He had the number 245 stamped on his arm for the rest of his life. In April 1945, 70 years ago, he was liberated from Buchenwald, by American boots on the ground.

USA, if you are not the policeman of the world, why should we hold so mindboggling many of your “In God We Trust” dollars?

My father, arriving as a polish prisoner on the first train to Auschwitz on June 14 1940, number 245, was liberated by the Americans from Buchenwald, April 14, 1945. So I might certainly be biased, in favor of the United States acting as the policeman for the world. At least biased in favor of the United States I believe existed, and still hope and pray for that exists. (So I guess I just confessed that I might not be the so "radical of the middle" on all issues.)

And that is why I keep on warning about that if the United States reneges on being the policeman for the world, or becomes ashamed of its strength, then the world might renege on trusting the US to such an extent as to hold a mind-boggling amount of its dollars, backed by a "In God We Trust". Approximately China holds $1.3 trillion, Japan $1.1 trillion and the rest of the world $3.1 trillion. And so you see, there might be quite a lot of subconscious quid pro quo involved here.

PS. Obama ended his September 10 speech saying “America is not the world’s policeman. Terrible things happen across the globe, and it is beyond our means to right every wrong. But when, with modest effort and risk, we can stop children from being gassed to death, and thereby make our own children safer over the long run, I believe we should act. That’s what makes America different. That’s what makes us exceptional. With humility, but with resolve, let us never lose sight of that essential truth.”

And frankly, to act only when only “modest effort and risk” is required, is not what has made America so great, at least not in the eyes of this small human being, who much owes his existence to the huge and brave sacrifices of America.

PS. It is also absolutely clear that Putin, when ending his Op-ed in the New York with “we must not forget that God created us all equal”, after referring to “big countries and small countries, rich and poor, those with long democratic traditions and those still finding their way to democracy”, has exclusively those who are governing the countries mind, those who so often shamelessly hide behind the skirts of sovereignty; and not for a second, not even remotely, is Putin thinking about the citizens who are governed, those who were the prime concern of America's founders.

And so, if "America is not the world’s policeman"...should Europe declare a state of emergency?

And please, if as a policeman, one one occasion, for your own reasons, want or need to restrict the punishment to something symbolic, is not that it is only symbolic, sort of the last thing you would want to say? 

And this is not the first time I have raised the issue of the dollar and America's military strength... and will to exercise it. Here in a letter in Washington Post

http://subprimeregulations.blogspot.com/2013/01/handcuffed-by-triple-rating.html

Oh, and just in case. I am not talking about a war against Syria, but a war against the use of chemical weapons.

And to fight and punish the use of banned chemical weapons, requires a willing, and, hopefully a strong, firm and good policeman, with a great sense of justice.

Or, are we telling our mostly dead grandfathers, their Geneva Protocol prohibiting chemical weapons was pure nonsense? Do we now want it repealed? I pray not.

And America, please do not confuse war with servicing as a police. A police detains when there are infractions… he does not build nations.

And if the United States is not willing to be the policeman of the world, to help enforce laws they have also agreed with, would the world have to pray for some vigilantes to do that?

Surely all human rights criminals who hide behind the skirts of sovereignty, must be celebrating the USA not wanting to be the policeman of the world! 

And in reference to the case of Syria, below I quote from “Questions about Syria you were too embarrassed to ask” by Max Fisher, The Washington Post, September 1, 2013 "What’s the big deal with chemical weapons?" 

"War is going to happen. It just is. But the reason that the world got together in 1925 for the Geneva Convention to ban chemical weapons is because this stuff is really, really good at killing civilians but not actually very good at the conventional aim of warfare, which is to defeat the other side. You might say that they’re maybe 30 percent a battlefield weapon and 70 percent a tool of terror. In a world without that norm against chemical weapons, a military might fire off some sarin gas because it wants that battlefield advantage, even if it ends up causing unintended and massive suffering among civilians, maybe including its own. And if a military believes its adversary is probably going to use chemical weapons, it has a strong incentive to use them itself. After all, they’re fighting to the death.

So both sides of any conflict, not to mention civilians everywhere, are better off if neither of them uses chemical weapons. But that requires believing that your opponent will never use them, no matter what. And the only way to do that, short of removing them from the planet entirely, is for everyone to just agree in advance to never use them and to really mean it. That becomes much harder if the norm is weakened because someone like Assad got away with it. It becomes a bit easier if everyone believes using chemical weapons will cost you a few inbound U.S. cruise missiles."

Red and blue, or, red or blue?

On the radio, C-Span recounted details about “Intelligent design,” which according to its defenders is a valid scientific alternative to the evolution theories of Darwin. I could not resist post-scripting the following to my American friends.

Unity is a very precious thing for a country (I should know as a Venezuelan), and there are some issues better left alone. This is clearly one. Pitting “intelligent design” against “evolution theories” can never lead to anything good, and you surely must all be aware that you will never ever reach something close to a mutually satisfactory conclusion.

As a Christian, I know we are challenged by a lot of apparent contradictions in our faith but, as a Christian, I also believe that we are supposed to find ways to make peace with those demons of contradiction, so as not to let the devil triumph. Friends, how can I put this warning any clearer to you? Well, if we were still in the “good old days” of the Cold War, I could have advanced the thesis that the very bad Communists had seeded this destructive and divisive debate in the heart of your heartland.

That said, I cannot refrain from mentioning that, if you absolutely have to, I would prefer the term “Divine Design,” since “Intelligent Design” sounds to me like opening the door to an equally unnecessary debate about more mundane issues such as quality controls.

I switched channels and I heard Faith Hill singing “Is everything A-OK in the good ole USA?”

The above is from my Voice and Noise of 2006

PS. No Faith Hill, sadly, purple/violet is gone, USA is more red or blue than ever

PS: A speech at the World Bank, May 2004, on "Communications in a polarized world"

PS. Social media, which allows polarization and redistribution profiteers to send out their hate and envy messages at zero marginal cost, has become social harmony’s worst enemy.

PS. Distinctively alike

PS. One prime reason for my criticism of regulators risk weighted bank capital requirements not gaining much traction, is that in these times of extreme polarization it's hard to make it a red against blue issue, and violet is so out of fashion.

PS. A tweet January 17, 2021: "Will America end up with red or blue hotels, red or blue grocery stores, red or blue schools, red or blue universities, red or blue social media, red or blue tv-channels, red or blue newspapers, red or blue states, red or blue counties, red or blue taxes?"

What the world needs now… [is growth sweet growth]

The United States of America is the only economic engine that keeps today’s low world growth rates from degenerating into a horrible global depression. It is no wonder, then, that all eyes are on this country’s economic performance. 

Actual consensus, based on a fiscal surplus, a very low unemployment rate and a basically non-existent inflation rate, implies that this performance is nothing short of spectacular. For those who still doubt, it should be enough to simply analyze the incredibly high acceptance rating garnered by President Clinton in spite of events which in other times, due to their nature, would most probably have resulted in his impeachment.

I would classify all other nations in two broad groups. The first group consists of those countries that have lost the international market’s confidence and who reluctantly or not must accept traditional Monetary Fund style recipes such as the reduction of fiscal deficits and increases in interest rates. 

The second group includes those that still can count on basic strengths. Japan, for example, is one of these. Apart from lowering interest rates to their minimum expression, they dabble (albeit sometimes timidly) with Keynesian measures such as the issue of consumer coupons.

Confusion basically exists only in Europe. There is still much discussion between the European Central Bank, wishing to prove its orthodoxy in the face of the birth of the Euro, and the individual governments, anxious to get their economies back on the road of growth.

You may ask why, as a local columnist, I am writing about the world economy. There are two basic reasons. The first is that Venezuela is a living example that helps us to remember what happened during those times when each country tried to put its house in order individualistically. The accumulated global result was worldwide economic contraction. By striving to adopt measures gleaned from the manual of good economic behavior, our country slowly managed to go from a state of obesity to one of severe economic anorexia, a condition which makes it impossible for companies to pay adequate salaries and for those who receive this meager pay to purchase goods or services from those same companies. The world should pay attention so it can avoid going the same route.

The second reason is simply the need to alert anyone who will listen as to the fact that it is absolutely necessary for Venezuela and the world in general to get back on the track of international growth. In Venezuela’s case, the situation is obvious. Either we grow or we disappear. Simple as that! It is slightly more difficult to perceive the urgency of the situation globally, except for those countries that, like Venezuela, have had serious problems with their debt load.

I am under the impression that due to the abundance of bad news generated by the world today, which in turn promotes belief in wonderful saintly Superman-like saviors, markets have blithely been ignoring the increasingly nettlesome problem of the United States’ commercial deficit. Please do not confuse the message with the messenger. I don’t wish to stoke the fire, but I do wish to remind everyone that this country’s commercial deficit boils down to a whopping US$ 1 billion per day.

Since the United States’ public sector maintains that it’s budget is in the black, the only economic counterbalance to the above mentioned commercial deficit is the private sector’s indebtedness. In other words, the fuel that today’s economic engine has been using to continue on its most opportune buying binge, in the best “its cheap, give me two” tradition, is the funding that the rest of the world pumps into its tank. In Venezuela, we can safely testify to the fact that this source of energy does not last forever.

There is only one way that the world will survive this problem relatively unscathed. It must simply begin to grow again before the problem begins to cause strong increases in dollar interest rates, driven either by the United States’ need to curb its growth rate, contain internal inflationary pressures and control its commercial deficits, or by an international market that will slowly but surely loose its confidence in the dollar’s future.

To grow! So easy to say, but so difficult to actually do. Above all else, however, I believe it is the result of mental attitude. 

Amongst friends I have often said that when citizens of the United States decide to buy goods and services from one another and go out for dinner every evening, the consequence is growth. When Europeans, in a steadfast show of responsibility in the face of hardship decide to stay home, the result is contraction.

Simply put, what Venezuela and world urgently needs, is leadership that knows how to stimulate growth sweet growth.