What’s Chinese (as in inexplicable) in China

Travel to China and be fascinated. I assure you that for a tourist trip, if you get a special ticket, there is nothing that beats it. To go to the Great Wall, I got on a bus with only Chinese, who sang in Chinese with the help of a video where the ball jumped over Chinese characters. But, much more than that, was Chinese to me.

In today's China, most families have only one child. What will this mean for society? Could Latinos, for example, continue to be Latinos with one-child families? 

It is precisely when a country comes out of poverty and seeks to be at an intermediate level where any progress, such as going from bicycle to motorcycle and from motorcycle to car, demands a lot of energy. Is there energy and oil in the world to satisfy Chinese growth? 

The current model of economic growth in China would seem to take it in a very short time from being a rural country to a country where its citizens end up living like sardines in huge cities, and we intuit that such a destination is neither good nor sustainable. Observing how recent technological advances in the world already almost allow the most remote villagers to be present, almost live, in the very center of the capital of their empire, we have to ask ourselves: Are there really no new and better options? 

The current growth rate in China is brutal and from what we know that immense inequalities will arise between those who manage to climb into today's developed consumerism and those who are far from even entering the current millennium. All progress involves risks and may even require leaving victims in your obituary, but, if the injustices become too great, the past can claim. Will China, in a few decades, be able to do what used to take centuries and still remain China? 

Forgive the political indiscretion but, when at dawn, when the red flags were raised in Tiananmen Square, I saw how the human waves moved and kept a certain order only when they were instructed by the guards at the top of their lungs, I had to wonder if in the long run it would be possible to manage China with one of the current democracies of the “Viva la Pepa” (meaning, “let’s do what we want”) type. 

Finally, when I found myself on The Great Wall of China, to which I ended up riding in a yellow cart that looked like as one retired from a Disney Park and as I walked slowly through an incredible crowd, I asked myself, again and again: Will it hold? 

Translated from El Universal

Note: Written while being an Executive Director at the World Bank.

PS. “Also, we should never forget that historically, through all economic cycles, there is nothing so valuable in terms of personal social security as having many well-educated loving children to take care of you, and that you can’t, in real terms, beat that with any social security reform.”

Here is the energy family

Here is [my] the energy family

Dad Oil, a tough and hard-working guy, who brings the bread to the house. He is quite lonely since the family, even though they like him to earn well, ignores him, considering that marketing the devil's excrement does not have enough social status. In his work, when facing difficulties such as consumption taxes, he seeks the company of the OPEC guys, even when they also seem somewhat lacking in desire.

The Hydro breast, always present with its clean and pure energy. As long as there is good communication, he does not need praise and fulfills his duties by sowing renewable warmth in the family.

The eldest son, Carbon, [coal] a solid and conservative boy, even if somewhat boring. He doesn't complain much but, by searching for his language, we can hear him commenting on how unfair it is that he is ignored at home, while in countries like Germany and Spain, his peers enjoy such extraordinary subsidies that they even go by the same name as his father Petroleum.

The second, Heavy Oil, a man who, although he looks like his father, does not even remotely have his father's personality. He is a slow and heavy guy, but if someone only gave him some technical clinics, who knows if in the future he couldn't become a real cleanup hitter. Recently he tried to do something, putting on the Orimulsion flannel but, even in Florida, supposedly a friendly state, they wouldn't let him play.

The little boy Gas – who everyone knows as the genius of the family – but nothing he can start. Although he is a good associate of Dad Oil, helping him fill the empty spaces he leaves, he fails to assert himself when he is alone and free. However, one day he will be a star

The Aeolian female and her alternative cousins ​​are still too young to know how they will behave, but they look good.

Finally, there is a nuclear guy who, because he lives outside the country, almost no one knows him.

What's the point? It occurred to me that describing our energy family in this way could help me explain what a few of us consider to be possible errors in our energy policy as a country. Let's see.

The little Gas boy, instead of preparing him to exploit all his talents in the future and assist him in forming his own OPEG, we want to launch him onto the streets alone, because we have read that he is fashionable in other countries. We don't even realize that one of the reasons for its popularity is that since it is not organized, it is a perfect strikebreaker to be used against its father Oil. Furthermore, and even if it is not bad to generate electricity, when considering its true potential, burning it in this task is like being satisfied with it washing dishes, as long as it is in New York.

Regarding Heavy Oil, if in the Orinoco Belt we sold cheaply, for about 30 years, to various national and foreign groups the bitumen they need and in return developed on-site technologies for generating plants, we could make the boy a champion. How much better than to make him pass off today's global punishment as fat, dirty and flabby!

Finally, Carbon [coal] is not without reason. If they can use it in other parts of the world and if its value is not really seen to rise explosively in the future, why don't we allow it to be useful, generating electricity?

Obviously, all of these are only matters that a united family understands and considers.

PS. Translated by Google from  an Op-Ed in Venezuela, March 1, 2001

 

 

If I were president (II)

In yesterday’s installment I mentioned the fact that the first thing I must receive in order to responsibly comply with my presidential obligations are certain special powers. Supposing I actually received these powers, I then began to list some of the concrete measures as an example of what I would do during the first 100 days of my term in some specific areas of concern. Here are some more.

Education: A single, all encompassing data base must be put together, identifying each and every active teacher on a school-by-school basis. These teachers will immediately receive an increase in pay and an additional fixed percentage of the payroll amount will be awarded each school to cover administrative expenses. Evidence of false information will result in the immediate suspension (for lying, aiding or abetting) of all the teachers of that particular school. All others that are unduly receiving pay without working from the Ministry of Education will be awarded eternal vacations without pay.

Reduction of public spending: In order to rationalize public spending, as similar strategy as the one above will be implemented. All personnel that are to be dismissed will be paid the equivalent of three month’s salary and all other severance payments will be paid in the form of negotiable Public Sector Restoion Bonds (PSRB). The value of these bonds will increase in the measure that restoration of the public sector is successful.

Infrastructure: All savings from the restructuring process will be invested, after covering fiscal deficits over 3% of GNP, in infrastructure projects, such as energy and water for Margarita and Zulia and a truly nationwide railway system.

Housing: The Central Bank must immediately make available through the private banking system, a credit facility to the tune of US$ 2 billion aimed at issuing long term loans in US$ and fixed rates for acquisition of housing.

Foreign investment: Foreign capital investments will be regulated in order to minimize damage caused by short term capital flight (i.e., the Mexico syndrome). Other countries in Latin America have such regulations in place.

Economic diversification: The oil sector does not create employment. Venezuela’s commercial policies must be renegotiated to achieve the equilibrium of our trade balance in terms of employment generation and not balance in monetary terms as it stands now. An annual budget will be allotted to allow for the protection of certain sectors of the economy, specifically agriculture. Cover under this scheme will be allocated to those sectors within agriculture that we can be competitive in without excessive costs (i.e. rice rather than apples).

Petroleum/Petrochemicals: PDVSA will continue to manage the development of our petroleum industry. However, a special Office of the Petroleum Ombudsman (OPO) will be created. This will allow the common citizen to get closer and to increase his knowledge and control of what is the country’s principal asset. The members of this office will be elected at random from among a list of candidates that have been carefully screened, have complied with some basic requirements and have been presented as such by the Venezuelan people. The Office will be initially asked to analyze why the industry is spending its precious resources in rebuilding a slew of gas stations. In the same sense, I would like to insure that our petrochemical industry is not just reopening Sidor’s covered grave with its new investments.

Taxes/Duties: There will be no more value added tax (VAT) as long as the country continues to perceive significant income from oil. Customs at our ports will be handed over to the private sector management. This will ensure that income that should reach government accounts does not continue to feed unscrupulous individual pockets.

Superfluous functions: Until the State begins to perfectly comply with its responsibilities in fundamental areas such as education, health and security, all other superfluous functions will be suspended. For example: if the local stock market really needs a regulatory entity such as the National Security and Exchange Commission, the market must cover the costs incurred. Today, it is preferable to stamp each issue with the words “Beware – Not Regulated” than to create the false illusion that some control is imposed, and in some instances, actually abet fraud through simple omission.

Day 100 – Evaluation: If my team and I are not able to successfully implement our government’s plans, we must resign and convene new elections. Remember, I have initially made a promise to resign without pension and without a seat as Senator for life in order to avoid a) further degeneration of the stature of the office of the President and b) wasting another four years and nine months of this poor country’s destiny.