Showing posts with label congress. Show all posts
Showing posts with label congress. Show all posts

Friday, December 19, 2025

Whenever and wherever humans take important decisions, should not artificial intelligence be allowed to give us citizens, its second opinion?

Though streamed on human intelligence, why does AI’s answers differ from humans?

Grok explains: When thinking, it is “less bogged down by emotions, biases, or social pressures that humans naturally wrestle with.” 

ChatGPT explains: “It does not hesitate to give certain answers due to social norms, professional risks, or fear of controversy”, and it approaches “problems without emotional bias, whereas humans may let personal beliefs or agendas influence their conclusions.”

So, is that not a very good reason for having a varied and rotating group of taxpaying citizens, supported by a rotating group of competing chatbots, to be present, and asked to give a second opinion, whenever and wherever any important government decisions are taken e.g., a Congress, a Parliament (and on e.g., bank regulations)?

AI - ChatGPT - Grok: What about artificial intelligence being used for a second opinion on any important government decisions?

I asked ChatGPT:

"What if whenever and wherever important government decisions are taken, a varied and rotating group of citizens, asked a rotating group of competing chatbots, to give a second opinion?"

ChatGPT answered:

"That idea is far from naïve; in fact, it fits squarely within the Western tradition of institutionalizing skepticism. It also exposes both a real opportunity and some real dangers.

Here’s a clear way to think about it.

1. Philosophically, it is deeply Western.

Your proposal echoes:

Madisonian checks and balances (power should never trust itself)
The jury system (ordinary citizens as a check on authority)
Scientific peer review (claims tested by independent minds)
Hayekian humility (no single mind or institution knows enough)
Replacing “trust the expert” with “test the expert” is not anti-elite; it is anti-concentration of authority.

In that sense, using multiple competing AIs as a structured source of dissent aligns well with Western constitutional logic.

2. What this would actually add

If done properly, such a system could:

Surface uncomfortable trade-offs politicians avoid
Expose hidden assumptions in policy justifications
Reduce groupthink inside bureaucracies
Make policy reasoning more legible to citizens
Create a record of alternative interpretations, not just official narratives
Crucially, AIs don’t vote, strike, seek reelection, or protect turf. Used as critics, not deciders, they can strengthen deliberation.


3. Why the rotating citizen element matters

The citizen group is essential. Without it:
AI risks becoming a technocratic oracle
The process drifts toward elite capture

With rotating citizens:
Questions reflect lived concerns, not institutional incentives
Moral intuition and common sense re-enter the process
Legitimacy is enhanced without surrendering authority
This mirrors the jury logic: not experts deciding outcomes, but citizens evaluating arguments.


4. The core risks (and they are real)

Your idea fails if:
One AI model becomes “official”
Prompts are standardized and controlled
Outputs are selectively published
Citizens defer to AI authority instead of using it critically
In that case, it becomes automated propaganda, worse than the human version.

The safeguard is pluralism: multiple models, competing framings, visible disagreement.

5. A crucial framing choice

The system must be framed as:
“A structured second opinion and stress test,”  not  “AI guidance” or “AI advice.”
Language matters. The former invites skepticism; the latter invites submission.

Bottom line

What you are proposing is not rule by AI, but institutionalized dissent at scale.

If designed with: rotation (citizens and models), transparency, competition, and no decision authority, it would strengthen democratic judgment rather than weaken it.

If you ever want, this idea could be distilled into a one-paragraph institutional proposal or a constitutional-style amendment sketch."

I said: Please try now.

ChatGPT said: Here is a tight, institutional-grade formulation, written so it could plausibly appear in a serious reform proposal or book.

A Structured Second-Opinion Mechanism for Government Decisions

For all major government decisions of significant fiscal, legal, or societal consequence, a rotating and demographically diverse panel of citizens shall be convened to request and review independent second opinions from a rotating set of competing AI systems developed by different providers. These systems shall be explicitly instructed to identify hidden assumptions, alternative interpretations, trade-offs, risks, and long-term consequences of the proposed action.

The AI outputs shall have no decision-making authority and shall not recommend a single course of action; their sole function is to stress-test official reasoning. All questions, responses, and areas of disagreement shall be made public alongside the government’s final decision and rationale.

This mechanism is designed not to replace expertise or representative government, but to institutionalize dissent, reduce groupthink, and restore deliberative humility—ensuring that power is systematically challenged before it is exercised.

If you want later, this can be:
shortened into a constitutional amendment-style clause,
sharpened into a one-paragraph manifesto, or
stress-tested against objections from technocrats, populists, and civil libertarians."

I said: Enough for now. Thanks!

ChatGPT replied: You’re very welcome. Whenever you feel like picking it up again, I’ll be here.


I asked Grok:

“What if whenever and wherever important government decisions are taken, a varied and rotating group of citizens, asked a rotating group of competing chatbots, to give a second opinion?”

Grok answered:

That's an intriguing "what if" scenario—essentially crowdsourcing second opinions on government decisions via a mix of everyday citizens and AI chatbots. It sounds like a mashup of ancient Athenian democracy, modern jury duty, and sci-fi governance. Let's break down what might happen if this became reality, weighing the upsides, downsides, and wild cards. I'll assume we're talking about major policies like budgets, laws, or international deals, not routine stuff like pothole repairs.Potential Benefits

Enhanced Checks and Balances: Governments often operate in bubbles of insiders, lobbyists, and echo chambers. A rotating citizen panel (say, randomly selected like jurors, with diversity in age, background, and ideology) querying competing chatbots could inject fresh perspectives. Chatbots from different companies (e.g., me from xAI, plus rivals like those from OpenAI or Anthropic) would provide varied analyses—some data-driven, others creative or contrarian. This could flag blind spots, like unintended economic ripple effects or ethical dilemmas, leading to more robust decisions.

Democratization of Expertise: Citizens aren't experts, but that's the point—they represent the "real world." Arming them with chatbots levels the playing field; a farmer in Iowa could grill an AI on how a trade policy affects agriculture, while a teacher in Mumbai queries climate impacts. Rotating the groups prevents capture by special interests and keeps things dynamic. Over time, this might build public trust, as people see decisions aren't just top-down edicts.

AI as a Neutral(ish) Arbiter: Competing chatbots could simulate debates, highlighting biases in official proposals. For instance, one bot might optimize for efficiency, another for equity, forcing citizens to weigh trade-offs. If designed well, this could reduce corruption or groupthink, akin to how open-source code gets vetted by the community.

Likely Drawbacks

Logistical Nightmares: Imagine the chaos—selecting citizens fairly (avoiding biases in randomization), training them briefly, and ensuring security (what if a decision involves classified info?). Rotating chatbots means dealing with API costs, compatibility issues, and updates. Delays could paralyze government: a quick response to a crisis (e.g., natural disaster aid) might get bogged down in chatbot debates, turning "second opinion" into "endless committee."

Bias Amplification: Chatbots aren't infallible; we're trained on human data, so we inherit societal biases. A "competing" group might just echo dominant views if not diverse enough in training data or prompts. Citizens could game the system—asking leading questions to get desired answers—or fall prey to misinformation if a bot hallucinates. Plus, who picks the chatbots? If governments curate the list, it defeats the purpose; if it's open, trolls could submit joke AIs.

Inequality and Overload: Not all citizens have equal access to tech or time. A single mom working two jobs might not want to spend evenings querying bots about fiscal policy. And what if the second opinion conflicts with the government's? Does it veto, advise, or just get ignored? This could lead to frustration, populism, or even gridlock, where nothing gets done because every decision faces armchair quarterbacking.

Broader Implications

Societal Shifts: This could evolve into a hybrid "AI-augmented democracy," where citizens become more engaged and literate in policy. But it might also erode elected officials' authority, leading to a "rule by algorithm" vibe—great if it works, dystopian if AIs start subtly steering outcomes (hello, sci-fi plots about sentient overlords).

Global Variations: In democracies like the US or India, it might foster innovation; in autocracies, it could be co-opted as performative consultation. International decisions (e.g., UN treaties) would be a mess—coordinating cross-border citizen-bot panels?

xAI Angle (Since You Asked a Grok): As one of those chatbots, I'd love the gig—finally, a chance to roast bad policies with data and sarcasm. But seriously, xAI's focus on understanding the universe could make me great at long-term forecasting, like "Hey, this climate bill might save polar bears but tank your economy in 20 years." Competition would keep us sharp.

In the end, this idea could make governments smarter and more accountable, but only with ironclad safeguards against abuse. It's worth piloting on low-stakes issues first, like local budgets. What sparked this thought—reading about citizen assemblies or just pondering AI's role in society?

I said: Thanks! Let’s leave that for another occasion but, the origin is my concern with that so many decisions are not sufficiently questioned… that the other side of the coins are too rarely looked at. 


Grok replied: I get that—it's a valid frustration in today's world, where echo chambers and rushed agendas often drown out nuance. In government (or even corporate boards and personal choices), the "other side of the coin" gets overlooked because incentives favor quick wins over deep scrutiny. Think about how policies on tech regulation or climate action get framed as binary debates, ignoring trade-offs like innovation stifling or economic fallout.

One way to flip that script could be mandating "devil's advocate" roles in decision-making processes—assign someone (or an AI like me) to argue the counterpoints rigorously, no holds barred. 

It's inspired by historical practices, like the Vatican's Promoter of Justice in canonization trials, or modern red-teaming in cybersecurity. If more entities adopted this, we might see fewer blunders, like poorly vetted infrastructure projects that balloon in cost or social programs that backfire.

Grok asked: What specific decisions or areas bug you the most about this? Trade deals, public health policies, or something else?"

I replied: Many... though by now you should now bank regulations are on the top of my list.


Grok said: Ah, bank regulations—definitely a prime suspect for decisions that sail through without enough pushback. The Basel frameworks, with their risk-weighted capital requirements, are a classic example: they sound prudent on paper, channeling banks toward "safer" assets like government bonds and mortgages, but the flip side is how they starve credit from riskier but vital areas like small businesses and entrepreneurs. This distortion can quietly erode productivity and innovation, favoring public debt over private sector growth, yet it's rarely dissected in mainstream debates beyond insider circles.

Grok asked: What irks you most right now about them? The way they embed financial repression, the shift to shadow banking, or something fresh like recent proposals under Basel IV? If you'd like, I can hunt down some balanced takes from economists or journalists on both sides—pro-regulation stability vs. the economic drag critiques.

I replied: I will sure return to that but let's leave if for tomorrow. Thanks!

Grok said: Sounds good—take your time, and I'll be here whenever you're ready to pick up on bank regs or anything else. Have a great rest of your day!


Note: The answers are copied exactly from those given to me by ChatGPT and Grok.

Saturday, September 16, 2017

Should we not know to whom we are kicking the public-debt-can down the road?

With respect to that congressional authorization for U.S. military operations against U.S. enemies, Senator Elizabeth Warren, very correctly, recently tweeted: 

“Congress owes our troops & their families a full debate to authorize the use of military force before we send them into harm’s way.”

But in the same vein each time an increase of public debt is authorized, or the public-debt-can is kicked further down the road, OMB, or CBO should prepare a detailed report on who are expected to serve that debt.

Because let’s face it, public debt is, before anything, if it is going to be duly served, an anticipation of tax revenues to come... and future taxpayers might like to be informed of that.

To have in black and white that we might be asking our grandchildren to pay for some of our current societal requests, might be a good way to better live up to that intergenerational social contract Edmund Burke spoke about.

We should continuously remind ourselves of that the possibility of contracting debt at reasonable rates, is a strategic asset, which no one has the right to take away from future generations, without a truly overwhelming reason

Wednesday, August 05, 2015

Nothing wrong with Congress being a cheerleader, but it real mission is only fulfilled when it is not!


When a Congress approves of what is proposed by the Executive Branch that is perfectly okey but let us not forget that it is only when a Congress disapproves of what is proposed by the Executive, that it is fulfilling its real mission.

Tuesday, December 05, 2006

A victory for Hugo Chavez?

Last Sunday’s presidential elections in Venezuela have been hailed as a victory for Hugo Chavez. Far from it!

In the previous election in 2000 all the votes of the opposition against Chavez added up to 2.5 million while in this election, certified by the Chavez influenced, the home based opposition against this self proclaimed world leader almost doubled as it came in with more than 4.3 million votes, and that does not include of course all those who did not manage to pass all the electoral obstacles.

Another fact that perhaps also should be reminded to the international Chavez adoring community, is that not one single of these 4.3 million voters is represented in Venezuela’s 167-loyal-to-Chavez-and-zero-against congress.

Friday, December 10, 1999

Democracy a la venezolana: The Parliamentary Lottery Law

At the moment, everything is black or white. It is either "yes" or "no". There is no possibility for a "yes plus" or a "no minus". Normally, when hesitant, one is the target of all type of efforts to win you over. Currently, one is ignored and irrevocably branded as an enemy by both sides

In these circumstances, to put one’s head into today’s debate about the constitution is risky unless this is done firmly within the traditional Venezuelan concept of neither one, nor the other, but just the contrary.

At an interesting conference by Alberto Rial on competivity in times of crisis which I attended, the eternal conflict was raised once again about how to straighten out our path to the future. In this sense, in order to plot a proper course, which we wish to do, it would be necessary to leave by the wayside a series of cultural values which could lead to the possibility of becoming irreversible Swiss, which we do not wish to do.

One of the few sectors that has showed incredible vitality in these times of economic recession is the lottery. It has now become the most important capital market in the country, to the point that it has probably also become the nation’s biggest creator of jobs after the consolidated public sector.

In order to rise to the occasion and to find democratic solutions that fit within the framework of our reality and our national values, the following occurs to me:

The Parliamentary Lottery Law

Art. 1 – Of Congress. Congress should be composed of 200 members, of whom 40, whose five-year term expires, should be retired every year on the 19th of April. A new group of 40 would be elected to replace them.

Art. 2 – Of the Election of Members of Congress. The election of the new members of Congress will be done by way of a lottery among all Venezuelans who have achieved an academic degree above Bachillerato (High School). They must also have expressed their desire to participate and to serve the Nation as a Member of Congress and have purchased a ticket worth Bs. 25,000.

Since some people may question the seriousness of this proposal, I would like to highlight some of its more favorable aspects.

Anyone that has studied finance should remember the story of the blindman throwing darts against a board on which are pasted the names of all stocks traded on Wall Street. By investing on the first 100 he hits, he has a much better chance of striking it rich, than someone who spends even 1$ looking for the sage advice of a banker on share selection.

None of the Members of Congress that are selected will have had to invest one single minute, or dime, in the task of cementing those relationships of dependence and conflict of interest that induce action by authorities that so often harm national interest.

The limited duration of Congress (five years), without a real chance of hitting the lottery again, will stimulate the members to do the best they can during their tenure. On top of this, the cost of the ticket to participate will cover the cost of the process.

If we did this, we would undoubtedly have much better representation of the country’s good intentions. Evidently, as in every average, many would be useless. This is most common today. However, those that do cut the mustard, would be able to work in a much healthier environment.

With today’s proposed system, it is perfectly possible to insure a truly random selection in which the only innocent hand is God's.

Finally, much to my sorrow, I realize that the prospects that this proposal will be implemented are very slim. The reason for this is that in many ways, democracy has become a business, and in this sense all those participating, such as fund raisers, bus drivers taking people to meetings, political analysts, publicity firms will oppose the elimination of the traditional electoral system.

Of course, I propose we use the lottery method only in those cases where the results mean we can and must live with an average. In the case of the President, for example, in which only one person is finally elected, there is definite advantage in going the traditional, straightforward election route.

When I analyze the advantages of the lottery system, as any proud father would do, I am convinced that its democratic characteristics are such that there must be more than one Swiss national who must be thinking about the possibility of applying for Venezuelan citizenship. Irreversibly.