I'm a former [short-term] Executive Director of the World Bank (2002-2004) for Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Spain and Venezuela. I write this blog to echo my voice and my noise. Though I know many will only be able to read it in yellow or blue, I do make an effort to write it in green. The Radical Middle or the Extreme Center is not any wishy-washy place to be, in a world where swimming to any of the ideological shores provides for a much calmer shelter.
Friday, December 19, 2025
Whenever and wherever humans take important decisions, should not artificial intelligence be allowed to give us citizens, its second opinion?
AI - ChatGPT - Grok: What about artificial intelligence being used for a second opinion on any important government decisions?
Note: The answers are copied exactly from those given to me by ChatGPT and Grok.
Saturday, December 13, 2025
#AI - Grok: When engaging with you do I run the risk of entering into an intellectual incestuos relation?
Here is how ChatGPT answered that question two years ago:
Tuesday, December 02, 2025
I asked ChatGPT - Grok: In U.S., what has most caused high house prices, bank regulations or illegal immigration?
Sunday, November 30, 2025
Grok: What's the impact of billionaires in the costs of basic necessities?
I asked Grok:
"How much do billionaires increase the cost of housing, health care, childcare, food, transportation and other basic necessities?"
Grok answered:
"Billionaires have a small, mostly localized impact on the cost of housing through direct purchases or investments, and negligible direct effects on health care, childcare, food, transportation, or most other basic necessities.
There are only about 800–900 billionaires in the U.S., with collective wealth around $5–7 trillion, but their personal spending and home ownership represent a tiny fraction of the $50+ trillion U.S. economy and 140+ million housing units.
Their influence is often overstated in political discourse, while bigger drivers include supply restrictions, labor costs, regulations, corporate consolidation, and global factors.
Housing
This is the only area with credible evidence of some upward pressure from ultra-wealthy buyers and billionaire-linked investors.
Individual billionaires' purchases of luxury or multiple homes can dramatically inflate values in specific high-end or resort areas.
Billionaire-backed institutional investors (e.g., private equity firms like Blackstone) buy single-family homes for rentals). Studies show mixed impacts:
Some find they raise rents faster (e.g., 60% higher initial increases than average) or contribute to price/rent growth of a few percent in heavy-buying areas.
Others conclude they increase rental supply, potentially lowering rents overall, or have minimal net effect.
Post-2008 crisis, they may have added to price/rent increases, but estimates are modest (e.g., 1–5% nationally or in affected markets).
Overall quantitative impact on national housing costs: Low single-digit percentage at most, and highly localized. Main drivers of unaffordability are zoning laws/NIMBYism restricting new builds, high construction costs, and demand from population growth/immigration — not billionaires.
Health Care
No meaningful direct impact. U.S. health care costs (~$4–5 trillion annually) are driven by:
Fragmented insurance systems
Administrative bloat
Pharma pricing
Provider consolidation
Aging population
Some billionaires own stakes in health companies (e.g., via investments), but their personal usage (private concierge medicine) doesn't strain the system. Costs have risen due to Baumol's cost disease (labor-intensive services don't productivity-boost like manufacturing). No studies link billionaires' existence to higher premiums or out-of-pocket costs.
Childcare
Negligible impact. Costs (~$10K–20K+ per child/year) stem from:
Labor intensity (low wages, high staff ratios)
Regulations
Lack of public funding
Billionaires hire private nannies or use elite services, but this doesn't affect average daycare prices. Again, Baumol's effect dominates.
Food
Virtually zero impact. Food prices are influenced by:
Supply chains
Energy costs
Weather
Corporate consolidation in agriculture/processing
Billionaires' grocery or dining habits are a rounding error in a $1+ trillion market.
Transportation
No significant effect. Gas, cars, and transit costs depend on:
Global oil markets
Supply chains
Infrastructure funding
Private jets or yachts don't move the needle for public gas prices (~$3–4/gallon) or car costs.
Broader Context
Indirect effects via wealth concentration are debated: some argue billionaires' political influence (lobbying, donations) helps maintain policies favoring low taxes on the rich or deregulation, limiting public investment in affordable housing/healthcare. Others point to corporate profit-taking (e.g., ~10–20% of recent inflation from margins) or untaxed wealth transfers reducing government revenue.
However, these are systemic inequality issues, not direct "billionaires bidding up necessities.
"Claims that billionaires are a primary cause of cost-of-living crises often come from advocacy groups (e.g., Oxfam, Institute for Policy Studies) and lack strong causal data for most categories.
Evidence shows their role is marginal compared to policy failures like underbuilding housing (~5–7 million unit shortage) or health system inefficiencies.
In short, billionaires aren't "making life unaffordable" in a major quantifiable way for basics — the impact is mostly a few percent in select housing markets at worst, and near-zero elsewhere.
Fixing supply-side barriers (e.g., more building, cost controls) would do far more than targeting billionaires.
I said: Thanks!
It replied: You're welcome! Glad I could help. If you have more questions, just ask.
Thursday, November 20, 2025
Do all want affordable homes? No! Some millions of homeowners could think that's not in their best interest.
Saturday, September 06, 2025
In words of two great Canadian singer songwriters, this is what has, and is happening, to Europe.